Sunday, February 17, 2008

Seed List as of 2/17

Atlantic 10- The A10 is starting to look a little more clear. Xavier is obviously the top team but after that it was hard to seperate St. Joe's, Rhode Island, Dayton, and Umass. Umass and Dayton have been struggling, but Dayton's key wins keep them in the bracket for now.

ACC- I would put my house down on the ACC receiving 4 bids. I can't see how they would get 5, unless an unlikely team runs the table in the conference tournament. Three bids seems unprobable also because of the ACC's number 1 Conference RPI. Duke, UNC, Clemson, and Maryland seem like safe bets. After Miami's road win at Georgia Tech, there computer numbers are improved, but I don't think there schedule will allow them to finish at a .500 conference record which would leave them out of the bracket.

Big 12- Baylor has lost 5 of 6 and have a tough week ahead with games at Oklahoma and home vs. Kansas State. They will need a split this week to feel completely safe, or this cinderella story could be coming to an end.

Big East- Connecticut now moved up to a 2 seed after that buzzer beater in OT vs. South Florida. The Huskies have won 9 straight and look for the Huskies to run the table the rest of the way and finish atop the Big East standings. Syracuse lost to South Florida on Wednesday and there NCAA hopes looked diminished. Then the Orange upset #8 Georgetown to remain in the bracket for now. They have the toughest schedule ahead out of any bubble team, which the Orange are looking at as an opportunity for more big wins. Syracuse needs to split this week @ Louisville and @ Notre Dame to have any sort of chance come Selection Sunday.

Big 10- I had Ohio State as the last team in entering Sunday, but the Buckeyes laid an egg at Michigan. Ohio State is 0-7 vs. the Top 1-50, but have Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, and Michigan State left on their schedule. Koufos and company can play themselves back into the field of 65 but it seems very unlikely at this point. Purdue has now won 11 straight, but I'm expecting the Boilermakers to come back down to earth this week @ Indiana.

Colonial- VCU and George Mason might have both loss there at-large chances on Saturday with both teams losing. The only way the CAA gets two bids is if VCU can run the table and lose in the CAA finals, which would make them a viable bubble team. One bid seems likely for the Colonial this year, however.

CUSA- Houston is the ultimate bubble team. I think I'm speaking for every "bracketolgist" when I say they wanted Houston to beat Memphis. This would give Houston a huge win and they would be an NCAA tournament team. (Kind of like how everyone will be rooting for Davidson in the SoCon tournament). With them losing, however, it's anyones guess on what the committee does with Houston, but for the meantime I say they are in, considering there are no bad loses on there resume.

Mountain West- BYU looks like the team everyone thought they would be in November or December. They crushed UNLV on Saturday and look like the clear cut favorite in the M. West now. UNLV also stays in the field as one of the "last teams in."

Pac 10- What to do with the Pac 10? It seems like every time a bubble team like Arizona State picks up a huge win, they lose their next game. The Pac 10 is so tough that I think a .500 conference record could be enough to get a team into the tourney. Arizona State and Oregon both are in this week because of their Top 1-50 RPI wins. Those are wins that other bubble teams they are competing with, don't have.

SEC- Mississippi is obviously in trouble with a 3-7 conference record. They look like they could be this year's Clemson, and there undeafeted Non-conference record could be wasted. Florida is also in danger of falling off the bubble.

Bracket form of this week's bracket will come out after the UCLA-USC game tonite.

1 Seeds- Memphis, Duke, Tennessee, Kansas

2 Seeds- North Carolina, Texas, UCLA, Connecticut

3 Seeds- Xavier, Georgetown, Purdue, Louisville

4 Seeds- Wisconsin, Stanford, Butler, Washington State

5 Seeds- Kansas State, Indiana, Notre Dame, Vanderbilt

6 Seeds- Marquette, Clemson, Michigan State, Drake

7 Seeds- Saint Mary's, BYU, Pittsburgh, Texas A&M

8 Seeds- Gonzaga, Arizona, USC, Mississippi State

9 Seeds- Arkansas, Oklahoma, Maryland, Rhode Island

10 Seeds- Baylor, West Virginia, Saint Joseph's, Arizona State

11 Seeds- Syracuse, Florida, South Alabama, Dayton

12 Seeds- UNLV, Houston, Kent State, Oregon

13 Seeds- Oral Roberts, VCU, Cornell, Davidson

14 Seeds- Belmont, Cal State Northridge, Stephen F. Austin, Boise State

15 Seeds- Austin Peay, Winthrop, Siena, UMBC

16 Seeds- Morgan State, Wagner, Portland State, American, Alabama State

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